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Predicting the Eurovision Song Contest with Facebook likes

On the Eurovision.tv page, each of the participants in the Eurovision Song Contest is presented with videos, images and more. Readers can share each participant’s page on social networks such as Facebook. In an attempt to predict the outcome of the first semi-final I have looked at how many times each country page has been shared on Facebook and how many times each official video has been viewed.

russia eurovison song contest photo: Thomas Hanses (EBU)

The overall score shows that Russia and Cyprus are huge favourites, while Switzerland and Belgium may not make it to the final. Late tonight, we will see how accurate these predictions are (I am aware that it is not fool proof, since you are not allowed to vote for your own country for example).

Facebook likes.

Russia: 3300
Cyprus: 2700
Greece: 2400
Romania: 2400
Ireland: 1500
Albania: 1400
Iceland: 1300
Finland: 1200
Moldova: 1000
Austria: 984
Hungary: 942
Denmark: 884
Latvia: 871
Israel: 827
Montenegro: 773
Switzerland: 629
San Marino: 553
Belgium: 275

YouTube views:

Russia: 2189000
Cyprus: 1673000
Greece: 629000
Romania: 603000
Montenegro: 598000
Albania: 464000
Austria: 454000
Iceland: 449000
Ireland: 405000
Israel: 306000
Finland: 302000
Latvia: 269000
San Marino: 258000
Hungary: 254000
Belgium: 247000
Denmark: 236000
Moldova: 183000
Switzerland: 161000

Overall rank, Facebook and YouTube:

Russia: 1
Cyprus: 2
Greece: 3
Romania: 4
Albania: 5
Ireland: 6
Iceland: 7
Austria: 8
Finland: 9
Montenegro: 10

Israel: 11
Latvia: 12
Hungary: 13
Moldova: 14
Denmark: 15
San Marino: 16
Belgium: 17
Switzerland: 18

Countries placed 1-10 will make it to the final, 11-18 are out of the competition.

Posted in Statistics.

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